After the first few demos of Tesla’s full self-driving beta v10 software surfaced, it’s becoming clear that it’s not “mind-blowing,” as CEO Elon Musk put it.
But it shows progress. Enough for Robotaxis by the end of the year? I do not think so.
Last weekend, Tesla began rolling out its new Full self-driving (FSD) beta v10 software update to its Early Access fleet.
Tesla FSD beta enables Tesla vehicles to virtually drive themselves on highways and city streets, but it is still considered Level 2 Driver Assistance because it requires driver supervision at all times. The driver remains responsible for the vehicle, needs to keep his hands on the steering wheel, and must be ready to take control.
CEO Elon Musk had been hyping the software update for months and went on to claim that it would “blow people’s minds.”
Now that there are plenty of video demos of the new version of the software online, we can more easily measure progress.
Here are some of the first Tesla FSD v10 videos posted by Tesla owners to the Early Access program:
Musk is linking this update to the wider release of the FSD beta, which he said should be available by the end of the month via a “download button” to all US Tesla owners who purchased the full self-driving package.
My personal opinion is that it looks like an incremental improvement compared to previous versions.
Some testers even apparently needed to re-calibrate their cameras after the update failed:
The last video above shows those problems pre-re-calibration.
It’s certainly not an easy release and I wouldn’t call it “mind-blowing,” but Tesla has made great strides in solving computer vision.
The new update detects its surroundings very well, but it is far from impressive when it comes to decision making.
At this point, the Tesla FSD beta drives like a 13-year-old who stole her parents’ car and is trying to figure out how to drive.
In the video above, you can see that it takes some seriously wrong steps, but the idea is that the system will learn much faster than the average driver.
I do not know. Personally, I think it’s hard to get to the Robotaxi level of FSD capability by Musk’s goal by the end of the year, but I’d love to be proven wrong.
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